ScientistGrades 10–12⏱ 20 min

The normal distribution

Drop balls through a bean machine and watch a bell curve appear. Then use μ, σ and z-scores to find what share of values lies below a point.

Standards: HSS-ID.A.4HSS-ID.A.2

1Wonder

Heights of people, errors in measurements, scores on a big test: plot enough of them and the same shape keeps appearing, a bell. Why does chance make such a neat pattern?

2Explore

Bell curve lab

This activity needs a bigger screen

Turn your phone sideways, or open this lesson on a tablet or computer. The explanation and quiz below work here.

012345678910Balls0Mean μ—Standard deviation σ—SillyChili
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Try this
  • Press Drop 1 a few times. Can you predict where a single ball will land?
  • Press Add 1000 at once. What shape do the bins make? Does the red curve fit?
  • Change the chance of bouncing right to 0.7. What happens to the mean?
  • Switch to Bell curve. Make σ small, then large. What changes, and what stays the same?
  • Drag x to one standard deviation above the mean. What percent of values are below it?

3Explain

← 50% · 50% →SillyChili
Step 1 of 6

Many small random pushes

At every peg a ball goes left or right by chance. Its final bin is the result of many small random pushes added together.

The normal distributionz=x−μσz = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}

A bell-shaped, symmetric distribution described by its mean μ and standard deviation σ. About 68% of values lie within 1σ of μ, 95% within 2σ and 99.7% within 3σ.

4Practice

Question 1 of 5

Heights are normal with mean 160 cm and SD 8 cm. About what percent of people are between 152 and 168 cm?

%

5Recap

  • Adding up many small random effects produces a bell curve.
  • The normal distribution is symmetric around its mean μ; its spread is the standard deviation σ.
  • 68–95–99.7: the share of values within 1, 2 and 3 σ of the mean.
  • A z-score z = (x − μ)/σ says how unusual a value is.